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August 07, 2025 • Tennis Analytics

Ben Shelton Seeks Historic Win vs Karen Khachanov in Toronto

An intriguing final awaits as American phenom Ben Shelton takes on seasoned veteran Karen Khachanov for the National Bank Open crown in Toronto. This historic first-ever Thursday final at a Masters 1000 event pits a rising star seeking his biggest career title against an established powerhouse aiming for a triumphant return to the top.

  • Head-to-Head: Shelton leads their series 1-0, having won their only previous encounter in straight sets at Indian Wells earlier this year.

Tonight's National Bank Open final in Toronto promises a fascinating contrast in styles and career trajectories as 22-year-old Ben Shelton faces 29-year-old Karen Khachanov. Shelton, the youngest American to reach a Masters 1000 final since Andy Roddick in 2004, is the bookmakers' favorite with American odds listed between -170 and -175. Khachanov, seeking his first Masters 1000 title since his 2018 Paris triumph, is a strong underdog with odds around +140.

Shelton's journey to his first Masters 1000 final has been marked by explosive power and growing maturity. After some tough early-round matches, he hit his stride, securing back-to-back Top 10 victories over Alex de Minaur and fellow American Taylor Fritz. In his dominant semifinal win against Fritz, Shelton fired 22 unreturned serves and showcased an impressive baseline game, winning in just 78 minutes.

On the other side of the net, Khachanov's path has been a testament to his grit. His run included victories over three seeded players, culminating in a grueling two-hour, 53-minute semifinal where he saved a match point to stun top seed Alexander Zverev 6-3, 4-6, 7-6(4). The Russian has been battle-tested, surviving multiple close matches this week.

The stakes extend beyond the prestigious title. A win for No.7 Shelton would not only be his maiden Masters 1000 crown but would also lift him to a career-high No. 6 in the world rankings, swapping places with Novak Djokovic. For Khachanov, a victory would mark a significant return to form and catapult him back to his career-best ranking of No. 8, a position he last held in 2019.

Their only prior meeting came at Indian Wells this year, where Shelton emerged victorious in straight sets (6-3, 7-5.) That encounter saw Shelton's aggressive style overwhelm Khachanov. As a major indicator for the upcoming US Open, this final will anoint a new champion in Toronto for the fifth consecutive year and establish the winner as a serious contender in New York.