Cincinnati Title Puts Gauff Near Her Ceiling

By Joey Tennis Balls · model-driven tennis analysis · August 24, 2026
Cori Gauff's 2296.6 Elo rating is 33.7 points shy of her career best after her Cincinnati title.
Per Yahoo Sports, Cori Gauff beat Jessica Pegula 6-2, 6-4 to win the Cincinnati Open. Our model puts her Elo rating at 2296.6, 33.7 points below the career-high 2330.3 she reached on 23 January 2024. It was her first title of the 2026 season.
Her best ranking is No. 2. The model's snapshot as of 24 August shows a 38.7-point Elo gain over the last 30 days, 27.9 over 90 days, and 14.8 over a year.
The model rates her clay Elo at 2312.5, above her hard-court Elo of 2253.1; grass is 2184.8. Her career win-loss records are 207-84 on hard, 95-33 on clay, and 32-15 on grass.
Overall, Gauff is 334-132. The Cincinnati run brought six straight wins, all on hard, after a loss to Elena Rybakina at the National Bank Open on 12 August. The ratings are a snapshot as of 24 August; they do not record a trend in win-loss record, and a surface Elo and a surface win-loss record are different measures that need not agree.
| Player | Before | After | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elo (overall) | 2296.6 | ||
| Hard | 2253.1 | ||
| Clay | 2312.5 | ||
| Grass | 2184.8 | ||
| Career peak Elo | 2330.3 (2024-01-23) | ||
| Best ranking | 2 | ||
Model: . Field: . Computed 2026-08-24.