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A Close-Call Day at the U.S. Open

The words on this page are drafted each morning by a language model from the day's schedule, results and broadcast rights; start times and channels come from the data, not the model. Corrections to Joe Lucibello.

Viewing guide · Saturday, September 5, 2026

A Close-Call Day at the U.S. Open

The U.S. Open fills the schedule with round-of-sixteen matches and the last round-of-thirty-two ties, several of them too close for the model to call.

The U.S. Open in New York is the focus of the day. Both the ATP and WTA draws are at the round-of-sixteen stage, with the round of thirty-two still being completed. No singles matches are live at the moment, but the schedule ahead is full.

The two Grand Slam events share the same broadcasters. In the United States, ESPN and ABC carry the tennis, with the ESPN app for streaming; in the UK and Ireland it is Sky Sports Tennis, NOW and Sky Go; in Australia it is Nine and Stan Sport; and in Canada it is TSN, RDS and TSN+. The model's tournament favourites are C. Alcaraz and A. Sabalenka.

There are Challenger events also on the circuit today, with streaming through Challenger TV.

◆ What's on today

Live board →
Grand SlamHard$48.9M
Play finishedHard

U.S. Open

New York, USA · 18 still in the draw

The men's draw is between the round of thirty-two and the round of sixteen. The pick of the day is the near-even Medvedev-Tiafoe meeting, while Alcaraz is strongly favoured against Paul.

Model favourite: C. Alcaraz at 46% to take the title

US
ESPNESPN2ABCESPN app
ESPN began a 12-year deal in 2026. ABC takes selected Sunday sessions and the men's singles final.
UK
Sky Sports TennisNOWSky Go
Sky's USTA deal runs through 2027, so these UK rights go back to market soon.
AU
Nine9Gem9NowStan Sport
Plays overnight and early morning AEST.
CA
TSNRDSTSN+
Grand SlamHard$48.9M
Play finishedHard

U.S. Open

New York, USA · 16 still in the draw

The women's draw is at the same point: the round of sixteen is taking shape as the round of thirty-two finishes. Pegula is the model's pick against Cirstea, and Kostyuk and Noskova look close.

Model favourite: A. Sabalenka at 26% to take the title

US
ESPNESPN2ABCESPN app
ESPN began a 12-year deal in 2026. ABC takes selected Sunday sessions and the men's singles final.
UK
Sky Sports TennisNOWSky Go
Sky's USTA deal runs through 2027, so these UK rights go back to market soon.
AU
Nine9Gem9NowStan Sport
Plays overnight and early morning AEST.
CA
TSNRDSTSN+

◆ Elsewhere

Also on: Phan Thiet 3 — Challenger 50, Cassis — Challenger 75, Istanbul 3 — Challenger 50, Tulln — Challenger 100, Genoa — Challenger 125, Seville — Challenger 125, Shanghai — Challenger 100, Como — Challenger 75, Manacor — Challenger 75, Plovdiv 3 — Challenger 50, Porto — Challenger 75, Zhangjiagang — Challenger 75, Montreux — WTA 125, Antalya 4 — WTA 125 — Challenger and WTA 125 events run alongside the main tour and are usually streamed rather than televised; see the tour passes below.

◆ Worth watching

Ranked by the model
12:30 pmET5:30 pm UK2:30 am AEST
US Open · Grand Slam · round of 16Hard

M. Kostyuk #11vL. Noskova #6

Model: 53% M. Kostyuk · 47% L. Noskova

The model calls this round-of-sixteen match near-even, with Ukraine's Kostyuk up against Czechia's Noskova. It is one of the closest calls on the board today.

11:00 amET4:00 pm UK1:00 am AEST
US Open · Grand Slam · round of 16Hard

N. Osaka #13vE. Rybakina #2

Model: 29% N. Osaka · 71% E. Rybakina

3:00 pmET8:00 pm UK5:00 am AEST
US Open · Grand Slam · round of 16Hard

D. Medvedev #8vF. Tiafoe #12

Model: 54% D. Medvedev · 46% F. Tiafoe

The model splits it nearly down the middle, making it tough to call.

4:40 pmET9:40 pm UK6:40 am AEST
US Open · Grand Slam · round of 16Hard

J. Pegula #3vS. Cirstea #17

Model: 70% J. Pegula · 30% S. Cirstea

J. Pegula faces S. Cirstea in the round of sixteen. The model expects Pegula to come through, which places this among the more clear-cut matches of the women's draw.

11:00 amET4:00 pm UK1:00 am AEST
US Open · Grand Slam · round of 16Hard

I. Jović #14vC. Gauff #4

Model: 22% I. Jović · 78% C. Gauff

10:10 pm ET3:10 am UK12:10 pm AEST
US Open · Grand Slam · round of 32Hard

J. Menšik #18vL. Tien #15

Model: 47% J. Menšik · 53% L. Tien

J. Menšik and L. Tien are in the round of thirty-two, and the model has them near-even. One to watch late in the day.

2:00 pmET7:00 pm UK4:00 am AEST
US Open · Grand Slam · round of 16Hard

T. Paul #21vC. Alcaraz #3

Model: 17% T. Paul · 83% C. Alcaraz

C. Alcaraz is the model's strong favourite to beat T. Paul in the round of sixteen. This is the clearest forecast on the men's card.

11:00 amET4:00 pm UK1:00 am AEST
US Open · Grand Slam · round of 16Hard

M. Andreeva #5vA. Potapova #25

Model: 74% M. Andreeva · 26% A. Potapova

◆ Tour streaming passes

▸
Tennis TV — the ATP's own service: Masters 1000, 500 and 250 events plus the ATP FinalsAvailable worldwide, but geo-blocks are set per tournament and change season to season - Masters 1000 events and the Finals carry no restriction, while some 500s are blocked in their host country. No Grand Slams, no WTA.
▸
WTA TV — the WTA's own service, positioned as the fallback where there is no local broadcasterBlacked out in markets with a local rights holder, which includes the UK and the US.
▸
Challenger TV — the full ATP Challenger Tour, live and on demandFree on ATPTour.com, with a companion YouTube channel launched in 2026.
▸
WTA Unlocked — WTA 125 tournamentsFree, usually two courts per event.

The board is loaded with matches the model cannot separate. Those are often the ones worth watching most closely.

← 2026-09-04All viewing guides2026-09-06 →

Channels are listed from KickServe's curated rights map (updated 2026-07-25) and can change at short notice — always check your local listings. Start times are earliest-possible: a match begins when the previous one on that court finishes. Win probabilities come from our rating model and are context, not betting advice.